July 2019 – Caveat Lector

July 30, 2019July 30, 2019

Religious fanaticism

You won’t find churches teaching proper discernment, because if they did, they’d have to throw out half their doctrines that were derived through unreliable methods, and that no leader in church understands how such doctrines were (reliably) derived. How can they know if their model answers are correct, if they cannot check the working of … Continue reading Religious fanaticism

July 13, 2019

Decision making under uncertainty 101

Basic fact (if the video is correct lol): 96% of stocks perform significantly worse than treasury bills. [pareto principle: a very small proportion of stocks are making a large proportion of the winnings] Inference: if you invest by choosing individual stocks, the most likely outcome is that you’re gonna be worse off than if you … Continue reading Decision making under uncertainty 101